Justus For All

None Sine Causa

The magic of Diplomacy

11:52 am on Tuesday, December 27, 2005

Barack Obama and Sam Brownback have written an op-ed in The Washington Post on the situation in Darfur.

They point out, correctly, that while the situation has improved somewhat there is a lot still to be done.

I am not so sure about their solutions, which are mostly using diplomacy to convince people to do things that they apparently don’t want to do.

‘Diplomacy’ seems to be the magic wand solution. If we want North Korea to give up their nukes or Iran to stop trying to get them, all we have to do is use some ‘diplomacy’ to make them change their mind. Presto, problem solved.

Diplomacy is a wonderful thing. However, a serious proposal to use ‘diplomacy’ to solve a problem really needs to include specific negotiating strategies (carrots and sticks) that can be applied to make another nation change it’s policies.

3 Comments »

Comment by RFTR

December 27, 2005 @ 2:04 pm

All talk and no action.

There’s a reason that the international language of diplomacy was, for so very long, French.

Comment by honespartisan

December 27, 2005 @ 7:47 pm

I hate to rain on your parade, but the burden for demonstrating a feasible military plan for the genocide in Darfur is squarely on its proponents. so I’m willing listen. How about it?

Comment by Dave Justus

December 28, 2005 @ 7:10 am

I am not saying that the answer isn’t diplomacy. I’m saying that diplomacy is more complex than just waving your hand and saying ‘use diplomacy.’

For example, Obama and Brownback say we should ‘use diplomacy’ to ensure Chinese support of U.N. Sanctions. China is happy to support Sudan because it has deals for oil exploitation with the Sudanese government. If we expect China to stop supporting Khartoum, we need either to offer them something worth more than the oil, or make them fear to oppose us. Either is a difficult proposition, and therefore it is unlikely that diplomacy will prevail.

With the Sudanese Government themselves we have more options. We could offer them signifigant aid packages, and perhaps get them to change, although that has the moral hazard of rewarding genocidal activities with aid. Alternatively, we could threaten to support a new nation of Darfur by arming and training the Rebels and providing air cover for them unless the government changes it’s policies and stops the attacks. This sort of thing of course requires a willingness to follow up should diplomacy fail.

Historically of course the French have been very good at diplomacy. Cardinal Richelieu, for example, was very good at deploying both carrots and sticks to get what he wanted. He never made the mistake of thinking that merely by talking nice things would turn out the way he wanted them to.

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