Comments on: Democratic race still going on http://www.davejustus.com/2008/03/05/democratic-race-still-going-on/ None Sine Causa Wed, 07 Jan 2009 22:30:43 +0000 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.5 By: Dave Justus http://www.davejustus.com/2008/03/05/democratic-race-still-going-on/#comment-481674 Dave Justus Thu, 06 Mar 2008 15:45:20 +0000 http://www.davejustus.com/2008/03/05/democratic-race-still-going-on/#comment-481674 I still hold it will be decided well before the convention, but of course it is also obvious that it will be decided by super-delegats and backroom deals. So depending on your definition of 'brokered convention' it either will or will not be one. The Democrat superdelegate system is designed to avoid brokered conventions, but giving party elite enough of a say to swing the outcome as they desire if a race is at all close. That will happen in this case. One or the other will get enough super delegates to end the race, and then the super delegates will get together to find ways to disguise that fact (super delegates that would have voted for the loser officially voting for the winner, seating MI and FL delegates, etc.) My bet is still on Hillary to win this, but if she doesnt win PA it will be much harder to do so. I still hold it will be decided well before the convention, but of course it is also obvious that it will be decided by super-delegats and backroom deals. So depending on your definition of ‘brokered convention’ it either will or will not be one.

The Democrat superdelegate system is designed to avoid brokered conventions, but giving party elite enough of a say to swing the outcome as they desire if a race is at all close. That will happen in this case. One or the other will get enough super delegates to end the race, and then the super delegates will get together to find ways to disguise that fact (super delegates that would have voted for the loser officially voting for the winner, seating MI and FL delegates, etc.)

My bet is still on Hillary to win this, but if she doesnt win PA it will be much harder to do so.

]]> By: k. pablo http://www.davejustus.com/2008/03/05/democratic-race-still-going-on/#comment-481517 k. pablo Thu, 06 Mar 2008 12:53:51 +0000 http://www.davejustus.com/2008/03/05/democratic-race-still-going-on/#comment-481517 Tellin' ya, man. Brokered convention. Just ask <a href="http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2008/03/why_she_isnt_dead.html" rel="nofollow">Bob Novak.</a> Tellin’ ya, man. Brokered convention. Just ask Bob Novak.

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