Justus For All

None Sine Causa

Election Day

8:16 am on Tuesday, November 4, 2008

I expect that Obama will win handily, bringing in over 300 electoral votes and probably winning the popular vote by 3-4%.

This isn’t the result I would prefer, but it is one I can live with.  I admire Obama’s personal story, I am certainly pleased that someone with his background can achieve as much as he as.  I also am quite impressed with his rhetoric and the themes he has harnessed during his campaign.  Those are all very positive things, and I applaud what he as done.

I am less pleased with the substance behind the rhetoric.  My read on Obama is that he will promote a fairly weak foreign policy, be hesitant to make difficult decisions and will embrace a fairly far left economic vision that I believe will result in poor outcomes.  Aided by a substantial democratic majority in both the house and the senate, there will be little to stop him from enacting that vision.

At the same time though, I realize that a lot of people still believe in these sort of policies (although probably less then will vote for Obama) and in general the country is ready for a different party in charge.  They probably deserve a chance to test these ideas out (again) and I expect that the negative effects I foresee will be less then if it was impossible for different views to succeed from time to time.  At the end of the day, I believe in our consitution and our nation a whole lot more then I believe in any political party, or even any conservative or libertarian ideology.

That isn’t to say I won’t be pleased to see a McCain upset today, and I hope that if that happens people on the other side, understandably disappointed, will embrace him as their president, even as they may disagree with his ideas.

4 Comments »

Comment by M.C.

November 4, 2008 @ 10:19 pm

Well said. I’m not nearly so concerned with Obama as president as I am that the American people are leaning toward socialism and world government. Public education as envisioned by John Dewey seems to be working.

Comment by Dave Justus

November 5, 2008 @ 7:09 am

I have my doubts about the wisdom of that strategy as well. At the end of the day though, I am pretty utilitarian and I hope that at least some of the things they wish to try turn out well. For example, while I’m not a fan of socialized medicine, I do think it possible that a universal health care program may well work better then the current mishmash of private and government that is in charge of our health care now. At the moment, in health care we have to a large degree the worst of both worlds. Anyway, I’d rather see them succeed and prove me wrong.

Comment by Bob Morris

November 6, 2008 @ 9:40 am

I don’t think this country is moving toward socialism. I think many voters were simply tired of what the Republican Party became, particularly with regards to its economic policies, and they are tired of playing “world police.” Hence, they figured it was time to see what the Democrats can do and if they might be able to find an appropriate direction.

I read where Eugene Volokh wrote at his blog that he expects the Democrats to be moderate in the coming years and I agree that’s likely to happen. Americans may want to see some things change, but they tend to fear “too much change.” There will certainly be some things done differently in the White House, but I wouldn’t expect a “radical” shift.

Comment by M.C.

November 6, 2008 @ 10:05 am

What the Republicans were doing economically and in foreign policy did not please me either. Much about the Republican party does not please me. I generally like what they have to say, but unfortunately they don’t seem to live up to their promises. Fortunately the Democrats don’t generally live up to their promises either.

Truthfully, I think the best thing for America is that we have so many different voices and are forced to come to compromises. The middle ground is usually the wisest course.

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