Justus For All

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Detroit Bailout

8:38 am on Wednesday, December 10, 2008

washingtonpost.com
The agreement, which is set for a vote in the House today, calls for the government to speed $15 billion in emergency loans to the car companies as soon as next week, and for President Bush to immediately name a car czar to oversee the bailout. The companies would be required by March 31 to cut costs, restructure debt and obtain concessions from labor sufficient to report a “positive net present value,” according to a senior administration official, speaking on condition of anonymity because final language was still under discussion.

I am fairly agnostic about the idea of bailing out the american autocompanies.  On the one hand, they should probably fail and we should just let the market forces work.  However, that would at least in the short and medium terms devaste an entire region of the country, and one that doesn’t really have a whole lot going for it.  Proping up the not-so-big three might well be cheaper then just letting them fail.

As to the specifics that seem to be coming out of this deal, I don’t like any sort of czar, and a car czar is offensive both in concept and as a philogical abuse.  It does appear though that the deal is designed to give the auto companies a pretty big stick to use against the unions, which is the core of their problems in being competitive.

I also have some mixed feelings about the short deadline.  On the one hand it does put considerable pressure on them to get things done, but if it is an unrealistic deadline, and I think it might be, it is just wasting the money and the time.  I would rather an approach that had a chance of success rather then one that is doomed to fail anyway.

I’ll admit though that I don’t have enough real knowledge of the detail of the problems to make a really competant analysis, but I suspect that this will be a classic case of the worst of both worlds, which is an unfortunate danger of many politcal solutions.

4 Comments »

Comment by Bob Morris

December 10, 2008 @ 12:46 pm

The thing that concerns me the most is at what point do we draw the line at bailing out various companies. I completely understand how devastating it would be for certain companies to simply fail, but if more and more of them keep coming to the government saying “we need to be bailed out or the United States is doomed,” where does it all end?

At some point, the economy is going to need to truly correct itself. It will certainly be painful for some, but it’s the only way it can truly get back on track, rather than being propped up by the government throwing money at it, regardless of whether or not the money is ultimately to be paid back.

Comment by Dave Justus

December 11, 2008 @ 12:29 pm

I don’t know that we need to draw any lines. Rather I would prefer to look at the merits and the costs and benefits of any economic interventions on their own.

I am confident on the overall long term resiliancy of our economy, but much less confident of it for specific regions and demographics. Solving those problems is certainly not easy, but I suspect it is necessary, and the best general strategy I have is to keep the wheels from coming off while we try different things and see what, if anything, works.

Comment by Michelle

December 18, 2008 @ 11:52 am

The issue isn’t really whether or not a specific business or industry “deserves” to be bailed out, but rather, whether it is lawful and moral for the Federal government to do so. Certainly bailing out companies is unconstitutional since it is not a power specifically granted to the Federal government. There goes the legal standing. As for morality, since when it is moral to forcibly take one person’s (or businesses) money and give it to another.

Comment by Dave Justus

December 22, 2008 @ 6:41 am

Well, legally of course the Supreme Court has granted the federal government fairly wide powers to regulate the economy under the commerce clause. While I’m familiar with the constitutional argument you are making, that argument hasn’t been upheld and isn’t likely to unless the court makeup changes rather radically.

As for the moral argument, taking one person’s money and giving it to another is what happens with all taxation. We undertake a lot of government actions either to promote the general common good or to solve specific problems. If, as many economists have argued, that bailing out Detroit is cheaper then letting it fail, in other words if the bailout would cost 30 billion but the loss of revenue from the economic chaos that the automakers failure would cause would be 50 billion, I could make the argument that NOT bailing them out would be taking my money and giving to another. In any event, our system allows for our political bodies to determine the best, and most moral, ways to utilize government monies.

Anyone is free to disagree of course, and I often do, and anyone is also free to work to elect representatives that will vote more in line with their view.

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